Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117 0.000124 0.000132 0.000140
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000095 0.000103 0.000112 0.000123 0.000135 0.000149
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000093 0.000102 0.000114 0.000129 0.000146 0.000168
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000090 0.000102 0.000116 0.000134 0.000157 0.000187
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000087 0.000099 0.000115 0.000135 0.000161 0.000199
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000086 0.000099 0.000117 0.000141 0.000173 0.000220
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000083 0.000097 0.000116 0.000142 0.000177 0.000232
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000080 0.000094 0.000114 0.000142 0.000180 0.000243
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000114 0.000144 0.000188 0.000261
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000078 0.000093 0.000116 0.000149 0.000198 0.000286
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000075 0.000091 0.000114 0.000148 0.000199 0.000294
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000072 0.000087 0.000110 0.000144 0.000196 0.000294
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000069 0.000085 0.000108 0.000143 0.000198 0.000305
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000066 0.000081 0.000103 0.000138 0.000193 0.000302
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000066 0.000081 0.000105 0.000143 0.000205 0.000336
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000065 0.000082 0.000107 0.000147 0.000217 0.000373
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000064 0.000080 0.000105 0.000147 0.000221 0.000391
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000063 0.000081 0.000107 0.000153 0.000235 0.000440
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000062 0.000079 0.000106 0.000152 0.000239 0.000463
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000061 0.000077 0.000105 0.000152 0.000242 0.000483
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000060 0.000077 0.000105 0.000154 0.000251 0.000525
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000077 0.000107 0.000159 0.000266 0.000592
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000058 0.000076 0.000105 0.000157 0.000266 0.000608